Here's how I see it: I wouldn't be shocked if the Packers win big, but I actually see it being a close game. Green Bay's pass rush has been great so far, but lets consider a few important facts: they've done it against Philly and Buffalo. These respective teams have arguably two of the worst offensive lines in football. The Eagles were sacked six times last week by Detroit. Let me repeat that again for posterity: the Eagles were sacked
six times last week by DETROIT. Buffalo has an easily below average offensive line. It's unlikely they'd have a leg to stand on if they protested your calling their o-line "awful".
Now, granted, Chicago's o-line isn't a wonder itself. But Cutler is the best QB in the bunch we've played so far (yeah, yeah, I know Vick is elusive but he was sacked... ahem... SIX TIMES by the Lions). After Cutler took a beating in quarters one and two against Dallas he things settled down. Martz is easily the best coordinator the Bears have had in recent years. He's aggressive, gets the ball to the running back frequently (Forte's "forte"), and the WRs -- while generally shitty -- have a ton of speed. Martz likes to throw downfield, but it would appear he isn't opposed to reigning things in if the pressure is consistent.
Here's the real issue, though, as I see it: the Bears defense looks for real. They've shut down opponents' run offenses and have been adequate in the pass. Take into account that they predominantly rush four and things get dicier. Green Bay's deficiencies last year weren't really against the blitz. A majority of the sacks came against four-man rushes. That's what Chicago employs, its how they base their defense, and they do it well. It is also, arguably, Green Bay's weakness -- even this year. The sacks against Philly didn't come on elaborate blitzes. Juquai Parker -- never heard of him either -- came up with two of them. Chicago has Julius Peppers. I think my point is self-evident.
If Green Bay does pose a definitive strategic advantage I'd have to say it's in the receiving core. I hope Jennings doesn't disappear (which sadly it seems he is prone to do). Finley having a big game could go a long way to sealing a win. Stretch a Cover 2 down the middle and the rest of the offense opens up. Chicago doesn't have a good secondary, but they aren't as bad as advertised.
All in all I think it is going to be close. Monday night, Soldier Field, division opponent, Cutler no-longer-playing-like-a-moron. All this shapes up for a much closer affair than most think ... I think.
William Henderson didn't have to run people over. His preferred method was levitation.
"I'm a reasonable man, get off my case."