Rockmolder
15 years ago
If there's one call that has been scrutinized, and rightfully so, it has been the prevent call with 3 second left on the clock that cost us the game.

Or actually, the prevent plays throughout that drive.

We went up against an offense and offensive line that has had problems picking up pressure all season long and a QB who holds on to the ball way too long. Yet, we preferred to bring 3 on nearly every play instead of brining the standard 4 or blitzing with an extra guy or 2.

This problems on the Steelers' O-line became even more obvious when Jenkins went through nearly untouched and got to Ben, who broke out of the poor tackle and scrambled, only to have Raji cut of his escape route and having to throw it away.

Although I dont like prevent defense, and I don't think that we would've been put in as bad a position as we where, had we blitzed a little more, a prevent call with 3 seconds left on the clock, isn't too bad a call. You zone out the end-zone and force the QB to dump it off and hope for a miracle.

Or, at least, that's the theory behind it.

Obviously, that isn't exactly what happened in our case.

Let's start with the personnel on this play.

We're playing a 2-3-6. Obviously, we're playing prevent.

On the D-line, we have Jolly and Wynn.

I'm going to assume that Jenkins and Raji where out of gas on this one. Can't imagine that Capers would want these guys out there over them. I'd like to think that your main pass rushers can toughen up and play this one last play, but they are 300 and 340 lbs, respectively, so I'll give them the benefit of the doubt.

At LB, I think we're playing Matthews, Barnett and Poppinga. Cant see it very well. Matthews is on the TE, Barnett is on the RB and Poppinga is rushing the passer.

Williams, Bell and Bush are in man against the receivers. Woodson, Collins and Bigby are playing deep zone.

On the field, it looks like this.

UserPostedImage

If you added up the personnel tasks, you figured out that we're playing a cover 3 man. Most of our corners are giving the receivers quite a cushion and, thus, a free release. Only Williams is up close to the receiver.

UserPostedImage

Our guys can't get any pressure on Roethlisberger, who gets about 10 seconds in the pocket before throwing it in for the TD. Mike Bell was covering Wallace pretty well, but got no safety help at all.

UserPostedImage

On this picture Bigby is just running over to get into his regular zone (Marked as '1'). Had Bigby been there all along, Bell could've played underneath and batted the ball down. I assume that Atari made a mental mistake on this one, though, and got lured to the side where 4 Steelers receivers where running to, guessing that this play would be a hail mary. That resulted in getting Bell isolated on rookie WR Wallace. A match up that Ben had some trust in, apparently, as he threw it into some good coverage.

There is one different theory I can think off, and that is that the Packers where playing man all around, having double coverage on the Steelers' 3 best receivers in Ward, Holmes and Miller, which would result in an overload to the right, as Wallace was the only receiver going left.

If that's the case, Capers should throw that page out of his playbook. If anyone, you want Woodson in single coverage, and even then it's a weird play.

Lastly, Bell's play on the ball.

Personally, I think he did just about everything right for the situation he was in. He played close up against the receiver, not having any help over the top. He nearly made quite a play, as he did get his hand in between Wallace's hands while having to make that hard cut.

UserPostedImage

In hindsight, maybe he should've gone for a force out, but there's just a couple of corners in the league who bat that ball down or get the guy out of bounds.

Let's just hope that we won't 'prevent' another offense all the way down to our end-zone. This sequence of calls reminded me an awfull lot of Bob Sanders' vanilla defenses.... [url=index.php?name=Pro_News&aid=126]full article[/url].
dfosterf
15 years ago
+1 Rock. Good stuff.

This friggin' prevent shit still has me fuming...

Prevent you from winning, is what they should call it.

Hey Dom, have you heard? It isn't how you start, it's how you finish in this league. We are supposed to be honing our vaunted defense right about now.

What a crock. I am not embarrassed about that game, but the end of it is very embarrassing, not so much that last play, but the whole mindset and defensive philosophy that would allow it to occur.

How many ways does this coaching staff have to recognize/have it beat into their friggin' heads that the prevent has not and will not friggin' work against a good quarterback?

Dom gave that game away.

You think that shit will work against Drew Brees, Kurt Warner, Donovan Mcnabb or Brett Favre?

Better wake up quick, Dom. Stubborn stupid shit, imo
IronMan
15 years ago
You shouldn't ever question the coaches because they are never wrong. And they know more about the game than us, so we have no right to criticize them. EVER.

(sarcasm)
doddpower
15 years ago

+1 Rock. Good stuff.

This friggin' prevent shit still has me fuming...

Prevent you from winning, is what they should call it.

Hey Dom, have you heard? It isn't how you start, it's how you finish in this league. We are supposed to be honing our vaunted defense right about now.

What a crock. I am not embarrassed about that game, but the end of it is very embarrassing, not so much that last play, but the whole mindset and defensive philosophy that would allow it to occur.

How many ways does this coaching staff have to recognize/have it beat into their friggin' heads that the prevent has not and will not friggin' work against a good quarterback?

Dom gave that game away.

You think that shit will work against Drew Brees, Kurt Warner, Donovan Mcnabb or Brett Favre?

Better wake up quick, Dom. Stubborn stupid shit, imo

"dfosterf" wrote:



I put a lot of the blame on Capers for this loss. He's a great defensive coordinator, for sure. Don't get me wrong. I think he just called a terrible game, at least when it mattered. Not only do we run a prevent defense on the last play, but pretty much every play near the end of that drive. The offense knew EXACTLY what they were going to get.

Also, I think if you're only going to rush a few people, your best pass rusher HAS to be one of them. Putting Matthews in coverage was another mistake. It just seems to be like we conceded any pass rush on those last plays. Matthews has a crazy motor, hadn't been rushing the QB in a few plays at least. Put him on the line and tear him lose on the QB.

Ahhhh, I don't know. I'm just not happy with the defensive calls. Let's hope Dom learns from this game, and this doesn't happen again.
British
15 years ago
Thanks for the breakdown Rock.

Capers is played millions of dollars to stop drives just like that.

They had little time, a long way to go, a feeble OLine and one timeout.

I hope Capers is kicking himself all week and learns from it.
UserPostedImage
Wade
  • Wade
  • Veteran Member
15 years ago


UserPostedImage

On this picture Bigby is just running over to get into his regular zone (Marked as '1'). Had Bigby been there all along, Bell could've played underneath and batted the ball down. I assume that Atari made a mental mistake on this one, though, and got lured to the side where 4 Steelers receivers where running to, guessing that this play would be a hail mary. That resulted in getting Bell isolated on rookie WR Wallace. A match up that Ben had some trust in, apparently, as he threw it into some good coverage.

There is one different theory I can think off, and that is that the Packers where playing man all around, having double coverage on the Steelers' 3 best receivers in Ward, Holmes and Miller, which would result in an overload to the right, as Wallace was the only receiver going left.
[url=index.php?name=Pro_News&aid=126]full article[/url].

"Rockmolder" wrote:



Another great post, Rock. +1

This pic disturbs me. Okay, the Pitt guy makes a great catch despite damn fine coverage by Bell. TD, game over, yadda yadda yadda.

But there's three other guys in the picture, and no other Pitt guy inside. Bigby's got this appearance of "oh fuck, I fucked this up." Bush looks like he's standing there doing a statue imitation. And the guy whose legs are only showing (Collins perhaps) looks no better.

Okay, I understand. It's zone coverage. Okay, I understand, it's a still picture. Okay, I understand, the ball has been in the air for a bit by the time the pic is snapped. But those three guys look like they are "off" the receivers even more than they are in the opening pic.

But still. It isn't the touchdown catch that's annoying. That looks like one NFL player going one-on-one with another NFL player. But Bigby, Bush, and "Legs"....they're about as dynamic as a Monet painting.
And do not be conformed to this world, but be transformed by the renewing of your mind, that you may prove what is that good and acceptable and perfect will of God.
Romans 12:2 (NKJV)
Rockmolder
15 years ago

Thanks for the breakdown Rock.

Capers is played millions of dollars to stop drives just like that.

They had little time, a long way to go, a feeble OLine and one timeout.

I hope Capers is kicking himself all week and learns from it.

"British" wrote:



I doubt he is.

The only thing that the prevent defense is made for is not giving up the big TD. A bend, but don't break style of play.

And that's exactly what it did, from a coaching perspective.

The play call was allright on that last play, if you asume that Bigby was indeed supposed to play zone in the left side of the end-zone. That shouldn't have been a TD.

I think that he'll blame this on execution and just go the exact same way next time.
Rockmolder
15 years ago
It's not only those 3 guys, Wade. I couldn't find a shot of the other side of the end-zone, but conventional wisdom has it, that if 8 guys drop deep, and just 1 is on this side, 7 have to be on the other.

Aside from Bell, the other 7 guys where defending 4 receivers, of which 1 was a RB who isn't a great receiver and the other a TE.

Like you said, Bigby was coming up to this side, but really, he's way out of position in the first place.
Zero2Cool
15 years ago
Most excellent!

I haven't had a chance to review the game yet, hell, I didn't get to watch much of it live either. Hectic 24 hours here.

I thought Bell was supposed to stay underneath and Bigby had the top. Looks like Bigby was out of position.
UserPostedImage
Nonstopdrivel
15 years ago
It's not like this is Capers' first major screwup. He didn't learn his lesson from the first Vikings game either. He called the exact same kind of game the second time around.

I am unimpressed.
UserPostedImage
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Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : Tua’s old DC won a Super Bowl Year 1 with Tua’s former backup
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Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : Yes, the Pro Bowl. It was played Sunday before Super Bowl from 2010-2022
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Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : From 2010 to 2022, it was played on the Sunday before the Super Bowl
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TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : If I was Philly I would try to end it instead of punting it
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : VICTORY! We have (moral) victory!
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : Hey they mentioned that we 3-peted
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : seems to me the 49ers should have traded Aiyuk when they had the chance
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : if the Eagles get it down to the 1, do they Tush Push or give it to Barkley?
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : 49ers have a money problem if they want to sign their QB
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Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : 49ers gonna trade Deebo. Interesting
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : Replays always never seem to show the holdings
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : Great throw by Hurts
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : Where Carter falls prey to bad off the field influences (to be clear, not saying he'd clip someone though)
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : Had Carter not gone to Philly were they already had a lot of old college friends, he ends up in a similar spot to Aaron Hernandez
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : I think some of his coaches told scouts to stay away
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : the street racing incident+conditioning and motivation problems
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TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : Getting Carter and Nolan Smith in the first round in 2023 was pretty darn good
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : for some reason i'm thinking of a draft where the Eagles where in the mid 20s and a top player fell all the way to them
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : I think so. I would need to look it up. Think it may have been Carolina's pick.
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : i'm not sure who i'm thinking of now
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : oh fuck me i messed that up
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : Jordan Davis was 13th overall
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : Carter was 9th overall
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : Eagles had 15th and 10th selections, moved to 13 and 9 to get Davis and Carter back to back
Zero2Cool (10-Feb) : Eagles traded up for Carter, didn't they?
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : Obviously he was a huge risk but getting a top 5 talent on the dline in the mid 20s is fortuitous
Mucky Tundra (10-Feb) : Jalen Carter falling into their lap certainly helps
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : And we could only wish to have this type of D
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : It's not like Philly has had low draft picks, but has managed to get themselves a top notch pass rush. We spend so much draft capital of D
packerfanoutwest (10-Feb) : another crap halftime show
TheKanataThrilla (10-Feb) : I think it is over, but then I think of Atlanta and want Philly to go in with the same intensity in the second half
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