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Green Bay Packers ( 4 - 2 )

Total Offense = 4th
Rushing Offense = 2nd
Passing Offense = 10th

Total Defense = 18th
Rushing Defense = 8th
Passing Defense = 25th

Points For = 27.0 (8th)
Points Against = 20.2 (9th)

Houston Texans ( 5 - 1 )

Total Offense = 6th
Rushing Offense = 14th
Passing Offense =5th

Total Defense = 3rd
Rushing Defense = 13th
Passing Defense = 4th

Points For = 23.8 (14th)
Points Against = 22.5 (15th)

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The Texas defense concerns me. MLF will have to be in his bag all game long. The weather shouldn't be an issue. Looks like it will be 72 degrees but windy. Perhaps that will favor Jacobs and Wilson on the ground. Maybe some well timed screens with blockers creating some seams to run in.

GB 28
Texas 27

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The Texans have a number of players injured or out in their LB+Secondary. Sounds like they could be ripe for the picking on play action.

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1. I think the Packers will deploy a lot of three safety defensive schemes with Bullard playing a lot of slot coverage.
2. I can't help but think we want to take the air out of the ball and do a lot of running and short play action passes. I expect Craft to have a very strong game.
3. I hope it's cold.

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Packers are giving 2.5pts , with the over/under set at 47.5pts.
Doesn't look like weather will be a factor, sunshine - low 70's at kickoff, the last I saw.
Possessions may be at a premium as I expect both teams to try and shorten the game by pounding the ball.
This game will be won by the team who can control the clock and wins the turnover battle.
I agree with WPR, going to be a close battle.
Bet The Texans plus the 2-1/2 points, but bet The Packers on the moneyline while taking the over.
Packers 28
Texans 27.
$2 bet pays $52
I have confidence The Packers will win, so I'm also taking The Packers, giving The 2-1/2 , betting the moneyline, and taking the over. That way if The Packers win by 3 or more , a $2 bet pays $4.60 which will cover my 1st bet.
BOOK IT! GO PACK GO

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Looks like the Texans will be missing 5 starters on defense, which based on PFF grades, the players they're missing are mostly graded high at stopping the run.

So the Packers offense should be able to run on their defense.

Hopefully the Packers don't get too pass happy, as the Texans can have one hell of a pass rush.

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On defense, I think the key is stopping Tank Dell. Dell is a very hot/cold receiver. When Dell is on he's a very dynamic receiver. When he's off, he can be middling. With Collins out and on the road, the Texans could use a big game from a streaky player to get their offense going.

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That game was so frustrating to watch. It is a relief to come away with a win after suffering through watching so many mistakes. What a storybook ending with the new kicker saving the day.

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GB couldn't get out of their way but still picked up the W against an AFC contender.

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