Mucky Tundra
2 years ago

Green Bay is likely to get one extra pick in round five and two more in round seven.

Historically speaking, the Green Bay Packers  are among the NFL’s most frequent recipients of compensatory draft picks. Since Ted Thompson’s tenure as general manager began, the Packers have often allowed mid-level and high-priced internal free agents to sign with other teams while rarely signing external unrestricted free agents who qualify against the NFL’s compensatory draft pick formula. In fact, the Packers have received multiple additional picks in six of the last eight seasons and added at least one pick through this process in all but three of the last 17 drafts, dating back to 2006.


In 2023, it appears that the team should get another batch of compensatory picks as a result of its moves (and non-moves) during the 2022 free agency period. According to Overthecap.com’s Nick Korte , the Packers are likely to receive three more selections in 2023 — one in round five and two in round seven.


The picks are assigned to teams based on a balance of unrestricted free agents signed versus those lost to other teams, with values primarily based on average annual contract value with some additional considerations made for playing time.


According to Korte’s projections, the Packers signed only one outside free agent who will qualify above the cutoff for compensatory pick consideration. That player is defensive tackle Jarran Reed, whose contract value falls in the range of a 6th-round pick. However, Korte’s projections see four departing free agents qualifying, with their values corresponding to the following rounds:




WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling (5th)


OL Lucas Patrick (6th)


CB Chandon Sullivan (7th)


LB Oren Burks (7th)




Because Reed and Patrick both receive a 6th-round value, those two players cancel each other out. The 5th-round selection for Valdes-Scantling is all but assured, as his $10 million per year contract is well clear of any possible cancellation. The two 7th-round picks are a bit tougher to project, however, and they will depend on a few factors, most notably what contract value the NFL will set as the cutoff for consideration.


Both Sullivan and Burks are very close to the bubble as qualifying free agents for the formula. Likewise, new Packers punter Pat O’Donnell is close to the cutoff. However, Korte’s analysis puts the two departing defenders above the bar and O’Donnell as one of the first players below it, meaning that O’Donnell would not cancel out one of the two 7th-round selections. If O’Donnell’s contract in fact ends up over the cutoff — or if either of Sullivan or Burks fall below it — that would eliminate one of those bonus picks.


The NFL will announce the compensatory picks sometime before the start of the 2023 league year, which is scheduled for March 15th.


Looking back one year, the Packers received two compensatory picks in the 2022 NFL Draft: one each in round four and round seven, corresponding to the losses of Corey Linsley and Jamaal Williams, respectively. The team used the fourth-round selection on offensive lineman Zach Tom, who started five games at three different positions in 2022, and selected wide receiver Samori Touré with the seventh-rounder. Meanwhile, Valdes-Scantling yielding a fifth-round pick is an interesting bit of symmetry, as he himself was drafted with a fifth-round compensatory pick in 2018, which the Packers received after losing center JC Tretter in free agency the year before.




Continue Reading @ Evan "Tex" Western 

Evan "Tex" Western wrote:



If they end up with 3 7th rounders, I wonder if they'll take a K with one of them?
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Zero2Cool
2 years ago
Based on history, I just hope there isn't an extra 3rd round pick.
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Zero2Cool (1h) : Damn
Martha Careful (3h) : Saints are re-signing DE Chase Young to a three-year, $51 million deal worth up to $57 million.
Martha Careful (3h) : 49ers releasing FB Juszcyk any interest?
Zero2Cool (4h) : digits of four
Zero2Cool (4h) : four digits
Zero2Cool (5h) : Eh, don't think so. better to split
Zero2Cool (5h) : on new site, would Fan Shout and GameDay Chat show same messages?
Mucky Tundra (5h) : The Hall of Fame stuff probably came from a scout as Zero said; at this point though it's hard to see them moving ZT from RT
Mucky Tundra (5h) : Regarding ZT at C, Gute had said he felt C was ZTs best position after he was drafted.
Zero2Cool (6h) : LB Oren Burks to sign a 2-year, $5M deal with the Bengals.
Zero2Cool (6h) : Based on how it was worded at the time, probably scout.
beast (6h) : I don't think the media person ever told the public the source, but Gute or LaFleur did say they thought Tom has earned his spot at OT
beast (6h) : I think it was supposedly unnamed Packers source
buckeyepackfan (7h) : Was that Gute or Lefleur or someone else?
buckeyepackfan (7h) : Zach Tom could be a really good guard, an all pro tackle, but probably be a HOF Center. Who said that?
Zero2Cool (7h) : It's March 10th. I don't think anything is done.
Martha Careful (7h) : if we think CB is done, we have a poor roster
Mucky Tundra (7h) : CB and OG in FA, narrows down the top of the draft board a little
Martha Careful (8h) : Meh....I hope we can get Ward 49ers or Murphy Vikings
Zero2Cool (8h) : Yes
Martha Careful (8h) : did Nate Hobbs just sign with us CB Raiders?
Zero2Cool (8h) : Jets have agreed to terms with former Ravens CB Brandon Stephens
Zero2Cool (8h) : Aaron Banks’ PFF grade was 0.1 worse than Elgton Jenkins last year.
Zero2Cool (8h) : Muwahaha
Zero2Cool (8h) : Oh awesome! Nostrawrongus says 4th so SUPER BOWL ON TRACK!!
dhazer (9h) : to be honest the freee agent market isnt that great this year so I can handle a 500 yr or sub 500 is fine, i see us as 4th in division
dhazer (9h) : Hi Dave long time no see
Mucky Tundra (9h) : Slaton to the Begals=Guaranteed Big Boy in the first 3 rounds
Mucky Tundra (9h) : WE SIGNED SOMEONE!!!!!!1!
Zero2Cool (9h) : Former #Packers DT TJ Slaton headed to the #Bengals on a 2-year $15.1M deal.
Zero2Cool (9h) : 4-year $77M for Packers new guard Aaron Banks
Zero2Cool (9h) : OL Patrick Mekari to sign with the Jaguars.
Zero2Cool (9h) : oops
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Martha Careful (9h) : Josh Sweat to the Arizona Cardinals.
Mucky Tundra (9h) : Surprises the Seahawks signed Darnold for that money
buckeyepackfan (10h) : Depends on what Kupp is igned for.
Martha Careful (10h) : The Bears are adding to their defensive line. Chicago is signing former Colts pass-rusher Dayo Odeyingbo to a three-year, $48 million deal
Zero2Cool (10h) : Free agent DT Poona Ford to the #Rams on a 3-year, $30M
dfosterf (10h) : Imo cooper kupp is pretty much stupid money spending
Zero2Cool (10h) : Dayo Odeyingbo to the Bears
Zero2Cool (10h) : oops
Zero2Cool (10h) : CB Darius Slay to sign with the Steelers
buckeyepackfan (10h) : Justin Fields to The Jets!
Martha Careful (10h) : Justin Field to the Jets
buckeyepackfan (10h) : Cooper Kupp! After all the stupid money is spent.
Zero2Cool (10h) : Colts are signing Vikings S Cam Bynum
buckeyepackfan (10h) : "Stupid Money" week underway. Let's see if Gute can pluck another gem this year. #8 & #29 last year, who can it be this year? My money is on
Martha Careful (10h) : Former Eagles cornerback Darius Slay is signing with the Steelers, per Jordan Schultz.
Martha Careful (10h) : Sam Darnold is off to the Seattle Seahawks. It’s a three-year, $110.5 m 55m guaranteed.
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