I have 2 reasons why I think the 49ers are over rated.
1. The Saints on grass are nothing like the Saints in a dome. Brees has a horrible record and rating when playing on grass and threw 5 picks. Even then, they nearly lost. With 5 picks, the Saints should have been blown out. 5 is a lot of picks.
2. Smith sucks.
To be blunt.
Let me explaine. Smith has been a poor QB when throwing down field. His accuracy and decision making on a down field pass is terrible. Even last year. They installed a run first/short yardage scheme that allowed Smith to avoid his problems and make safe plays with less pressure. It was a great decision and I think it would probably work again.
The problem with that is, the just got Moss, Manningham and AJ Jenkins. They are all 3 speedster/down field receivers. It appears that they are aiming to make Smith a down field passer.
Personally I doubt they will be happy if Smith is only throwing a pass or two a game to the down field threats. If Smith tries to go down field. He is going to be making a lot of mistakes and poor throws. Better receivers won't make Smiths accuracy or decision making any better.
I want to go out like my Grandpa did. Peacefully in his sleep.
Not screaming in terror like his passengers.