Yerko
14 years ago
Wow, if the Bears keep up their unfortunate winning ways, the January 2nd game is going to be crazy...

From 3rd position to 7th just like that...
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Pack93z
14 years ago



If I'm reading the tie breaker correctly on nfl.com I have a correction.

The Eagles are actually leading their division, which makes us seventh behind NYG and NO as both have better conference records. Within the division it goes head-to-head, division record, common games, and then conference. Philly are 2-1 in common games (Indy, Detroit, and Tennessee) whereas New York are 1-2.

"mi_keys" wrote:



http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2010/writers/don_banks/11/16/nfl-playoff-picture/index.html?eref=sihp 


NFC playoff seeds

1. Atlanta (7-2)
2. Philadelphia (6-3)
3. Chicago (6-3)
4. Seattle (5-4)
5. New York Giants (6-3)
6. New Orleans (6-3)

Out of the money: Green Bay (6-3) and Tampa Bay (6-3) are the only NFC teams with winning records that would miss the playoffs today. But keep in mind that St. Louis (4-5) and San Francisco (3-6) are very much still in the hunt in the NFC West. (Sorry, I can't take 3-6 Arizona seriously). For the record, four of the six teams in the NFC field would be new to the postseason this year (Atlanta, Chicago, Seattle and the Giants).

Tiebreakers: There are plenty of tiebreaker permutations that will be changed by further matchups, but the important ones to keep track of in the NFC at the moment are:

-- Philadelphia beats the Giants out for the NFC East based on their 2-1 record against common opponents (New York is 1-2 in that department).

-- Chicago wins the NFC North because it beat Green Bay head-to-head.

-- The Giants get the No. 5 seed based on their superior conference record (5-1), compared to New Orleans (5-2), Green Bay (4-2) and Tampa Bay (4-2).

-- New Orleans beats out Tampa Bay for a wild-card berth because the Saints defeated the Bucs head-to-head, and the Saints have the edge over Green Bay for the sixth seed because of their 5-2 conference record is better than Green Bay's 4-2.


"The oranges are dry; the apples are mealy; and the papayas... I don't know what's going on with the papayas!"
Zero2Cool
14 years ago
I don't like Banks version.
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zombieslayer
14 years ago

Wow, if the Bears keep up their unfortunate winning ways, the January 2nd game is going to be crazy...

From 3rd position to 7th just like that...

"G-Force" wrote:



da Bears lose at least 4 more games before the season ends.
My man Donald Driver
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CaliforniaCheez
14 years ago
Again with divisional teams having 14 of 16 games in common there is no need to add the redundant phrase, minimum 4 games when breaking ties within a division. Minimum 4 games is used everywhere else.

This is an extremely rare situation that would only occur in a shortened season (example being a player's strike).

This exception to a rule that will never happen during a full season will incorporated into future calculations of division tiebreakers.

It is difficult to believe that if this were a strike shortened season that one Mason Crosby missed field goal in Washington is the difference between Home Field advantage throughout the playoffs and missing the playoffs.

Hope the Eagles beat the Giants this weekend. Then both will have 2 conference losses.
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mi_keys
14 years ago

+1 to OP.
+1 to mi_keys.

I think keeping the details of GDP calculation straight is easier than applying the rules for NFL playoff tiebreakers.

"CaliforniaCheez" wrote:



I try to stay on top of it because it is confusing.
The NFL does not publish all their rules.
I believe the NFL is consistent with their definition of common games (a minimum of 4). Why would there be a different definition of common games within a division when division rivals have 14 common games over the course of a season?

By the way this little gem will last only a few days because the Giants play at the Eagles Head to Head this weekend.

The Packers are okay now. But you see how the loss to the Redskins really hurt them. Had Crosby made that field goal they would be #1 seed in the NFC with a better Conference record than the Falcons.

That is why I titled the thread high and tight.
Right now it is a close race.

"Wade" wrote:



It certainly is a tight race. Two teams "eliminated" right now with 6-3 records, 1 game behind the NFC leading Falcons.

As for publishing all their rules as far as I know they do. They are right here:
http://www.nfl.com/standings/tiebreakingprocedures 

It's a pretty extensive list and I can't see what rules they haven't included. The reason you mentioned that division teams play 14 of 16 games makes the 4 game minimum requirement for non-division teams unnecessary. Who know what they would do in a strike shortened year. That said, it is being used now in the interim because there is no mention of a minimum of four games.
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wpr
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14 years ago
This week GB wins and Bears lose and it won't matter. :thumbleft:
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istanbulpacker
14 years ago

I don't like Banks version.

"Zero2Cool" wrote:



The rest of the article wasn't quoted. Here it is below.


Team most likely to fade: Chicago -- The Bears have got miles and miles to go before they have anything to truly celebrate this season. Five of Chicago's final seven games are against winning teams, including trips to Miami and Green Bay, and there are tough home games looming against Philadelphia, New England and the Jets.

Team most likely to surge: Green Bay -- The Packers' three-game winning streak means the surge has already begun. Green Bay's Dom Capers-coordinated defense is becoming a factor again, and only trips to Atlanta and New England look like games that might be beyond the Packers' reach in the final seven weeks.

"Don Banks" wrote:




After reading this, I'm sure you won't have an issue with Banksy's version.
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Nonstopdrivel
14 years ago
Can anyone confirm that this is true? It sounds questionable to me.

Falcon -- the "lead" of the Bears is meaningless unless they sweep the Packers this year. If the Pack win that game by more than 3, they can actually go into the final week with 1 more loss than the Bears and STILL win the division. (That's how it works for those Bear fans patting themselves on the back for the win in week 3.) I fully agree that the game in Atlanta will show just how far the Pack has come this season, but certainly not a "must win" game by any calculation. However, if the Falcons lose, not only will the Pack show their greatness, but Atlanta will no longer be the top seed in the NFC. Much more at stake for the dirty birds.


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gbguy20
14 years ago

Can anyone confirm that this is true? It sounds questionable to me.

Falcon -- the "lead" of the Bears is meaningless unless they sweep the Packers this year. If the Pack win that game by more than 3, they can actually go into the final week with 1 more loss than the Bears and STILL win the division. (That's how it works for those Bear fans patting themselves on the back for the win in week 3.) I fully agree that the game in Atlanta will show just how far the Pack has come this season, but certainly not a "must win" game by any calculation. However, if the Falcons lose, not only will the Pack show their greatness, but Atlanta will no longer be the top seed in the NFC. Much more at stake for the dirty birds.

"Nonstopdrivel" wrote:



seems legit to me. it basically says that if we end the season tied but we beat them by more than 3 points, then we take the division. unless that isn't the part you were questioning.
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Martha Careful (17-Nov) : chop block
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