wpr
  • wpr
  • Preferred Member Topic Starter
3 years ago

The Packers have big-name fantasy stars on the roster, but the other guys might help tip your teams over the edge. We know the big names in fantasy for the Green Bay Packers  and how effective they can be in winning your leagues. But outside of Davante Adams, Aaron Jones, and Aaron Rodgers (maybe?), who are the fantasy diamonds in the rough on this Packers roster who could sneak you past your friends, family members, and coworkers in your leagues?
Last season, I was pretty high on Allen Lazard being a sneaky deep-round pick in redraft leagues based, in part, on being ranked 17th by DVOA among WRs in 2019. However, the injury bug struck and derailed Lazard’s fantasy relevance. (This did partially lead to the emergence of Robert Tonyan, who played a larger role in the offense that only a few predicted.) I still think Lazard can come back and be a fixture in the offense.
Lazard started the season hot, playing no less than 83 percent of snaps and bringing in 13 catches for 254 yards and two TDs in the first three weeks. In those games, his 15.8, 15, and 24.3 yards per catch were incredibly promising. Injuries forced Lazard to miss the next six games, however, and he didn’t really return to form until the playoffs began.
According to Sharp Football Stats’ strength of schedule , the Packers face the 11th easiest schedule by Pass Efficiency Defense of Opponents in 2021. This is buoyed in large part due to the Lions being on the schedule twice, but there are a lot of defenses on the schedule whose pass defenses are lifted by pass rush rather than an abundance of lockdown DBs in the secondary. I am thinking primarily of San Francisco, Chicago, and Arizona, who all project to be 8th, 9th, and 12th by Pass Efficiency Defense. We should also take into account that Adams will absorb the most attention from opposing secondaries, leaving Lazard to compete in one-on-one matchups with the CB2. If the Packers continue to put together a well-coached offensive line, despite personnel losses, and Rodgers continues to avoid sacks like a wizard, defenses that lack secondary talent can be exposed.
Additionally, as long as Matt LaFleur is directing the offense and Rodgers is piloting it, the Packers have a perennial top-tier offense that will get the most out of players who would otherwise struggle. Currently, Lazard is going as WR69 in half-point PPR leagues and 205th overall. That’s a dart throw you should be willing to make.
Elsewhere, Tonyan should be another guy to target. I thought was a diamond on display, but apparently he’s not on the showroom floor. Fantasy Pros has Tonyan going as the TE18 and 152 overall. This is the same guy who finished second at his position in Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement and first in DVOA. He was as valuable as you could get for a tight end last year, he just lacked the volume. And he still finished as TE4 in PPR leagues.
In what was essentially his first season seeing significant snaps, Tonyan excelled and should continue to trend upwards. Tight ends going ahead of Tonyan include timeshare guys Jonnu Smith and Hunter Henry, Zach Ertz — who may not remain in Philadelphia and who hasn’t looked the same anyway — and inconsistent players like Tyler Higbee, Evan Engram, and Logan Thomas. Having 17 tight ends off the board before last year’s TE4 is bonkers. The value of getting Tonyan that late is absurd.


Continue Reading @ Jordan E. Smith 

Jordan E. Smith wrote:



Lazard and Tonyan may be worth something in the fantasy world but then again they may not. Figure out who the QB is will be the first obstacle. Then it won't matter if it's Rodgers or Love (or even Bortles) there are so many offensive weapons both players run the risk of being shut out of points in any given week. Draft them at your own risk.
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Mucky Tundra (1h) : Or ties, but let's be real here
Mucky Tundra (1h) : Other scenario was Falcons+Rams losses
Mucky Tundra (1h) : Needed a Falcons loss for a Seahawk loss to clinch
buckeyepackfan (1h) : Am I wring in saying if Tge Vikings beat The Seahawks, The Packers clinch?
Mucky Tundra (21-Dec) : Agreed; you stinks
Zero2Cool (21-Dec) : I'm not beating anyone. I stinks.
Mucky Tundra (21-Dec) : rough injury for tank dell. guy can't catch abreak
beast (21-Dec) : So far the college playoffs have sucked... One team absolutely dominates the other
beast (21-Dec) : Well even if you weren't positive towards a guy, you wouldn't nessarily want to tell the media that (if they don't know about it)
Martha Careful (21-Dec) : I think MLF want Love to look past the end half issues, and feel good about his play. Our coaches generally keep a very positive tone.
beast (21-Dec) : I think a great running game will do that for most QBs
packerfanoutwest (21-Dec) : Coach Matt LaFleur has said quarterback Jordan Love is playing the best football of his career.
beast (21-Dec) : Oh, that's how you keep beating buckeye, with cheating
Zero2Cool (20-Dec) : There is a rule that if your name starts with 'b' you lose 15 points. Hey, I don't make the rules, I just enforce them!
wpr (20-Dec) : and then there is Beast. Running away with it all.
beast (20-Dec) : As of tonight, 3 way tie for 2nd in Pick'em, that battle is interesting!
beast (20-Dec) : Lions vs Vikings could be the main last game as it could determine division winners or #1 vs #2 seed
Mucky Tundra (20-Dec) : Or if KC needs to win for the #1 seed
Mucky Tundra (20-Dec) : Right now it looks like the only prime worthy games are Det-Minny and KC-Denver (if Denver can clinch a wild card spot)
Mucky Tundra (20-Dec) : The entirety of week 18 being listed as flex is weird
Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : Matt LaFleur today says unequivocally "Ted Thompson had nothing to do with the drafting of Jordan Love."
Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : Apparently, the editing is what pieces comments together. That Ted thing ... fake news.
Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : LaFleur "opportunity that Ted Thompson thought was too good to pass up"
Zero2Cool (19-Dec) : Jordan Love pick was Ted Thompson's idea.
Mucky Tundra (19-Dec) : Kyle Shanahan on signing De'Vondre Campbell as a FA last offseason: “We obviously made a mistake.”
packerfanoutwest (19-Dec) : Alexander’s last season with GB
Martha Careful (18-Dec) : if I were a professional athlete, I would probably look to see who the agent is for Kirk Cousins and then use him
beast (18-Dec) : $100 million fully guaranteed Kirk Cousins gets benched for rookie
Mucky Tundra (18-Dec) : a lower case b
Mucky Tundra (18-Dec) : The real lie is how beast capitalized his name in his message while it's normally spelled with
packerfanoutwest (18-Dec) : haha that's a lie
beast (17-Dec) : Despite what lies other might tell, Beast didn't hate the Winter Warnings, it felt refreshing to Beast for some reason.
Zero2Cool (17-Dec) : whiteout uniforms in general are pretty lame and weak. NFL greed at it's worst
Martha Careful (17-Dec) : The Viking uniforms, the whiteout uniforms specifically absolutely suck
beast (17-Dec) : Thanks Zero2Cool, looks a lot better now
beast (17-Dec) : Seems like someone has a crush on me, can't stop talking about me
Zero2Cool (17-Dec) : Should be gooder now. The forum default theme went to goofy land.
Zero2Cool (17-Dec) : What the hell
packerfanoutwest (17-Dec) : yeah beast hates the Winter Warning Unies
Mucky Tundra (16-Dec) : Okay I'm glad to know it's not just something happening to me lol
Mucky Tundra (16-Dec) : Zero, did you copy the Packers uniforms from last night and white out the board?
beast (16-Dec) : Oh crap, is the board going to the Winter Warning Uniforms too?!? It's all white on white right now!
Zero2Cool (16-Dec) : WR Odell Beckham Jr is officially a free agent after clearing waivers.
Zero2Cool (16-Dec) : Packers are 6th in sacks.
Zero2Cool (16-Dec) : RB David Montgomery will undergo season-ending knee surgery.
Mucky Tundra (16-Dec) : Dan Campbell on onside kick with 12 minutes left: In hindsight, wish I didn’t do that
Zero2Cool (16-Dec) : They have that whole 12th man thing so ...
Zero2Cool (16-Dec) : Of the times we've played there, I just can't recall hearing our fans.
wpr (16-Dec) : Well done jdlax. Well done.
wpr (16-Dec) : I think more likely to be Pack fans that live in the area.
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