Run... the... ball... more. Please.· Page 6

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zombieslayer
Registered

12 years ago

Pack - I had a bunch of arguments:
1) Elite RBs are actually bad because they take money from other areas,
2) Rushing success has no bearing on a team's success,
3) Pass/run %

I didn't "concede" anything. I admit when I'm wrong. I was right about 1 and 2 and wrong about 3. I thought we could go more gung ho on pass %, but found the sweet spot is less than I thought, more high 50s than 65% which I wanted.

I know you just like to ruffle my feathers, but come on. Most of my arguments about running have been correct, and the NFL knows it. 🇹🇹 follows #1 and I bet you had I told him these 3 arguments 2 or 3 years ago back when I was making it, if it was behind closed doors, he'd agree with #1 and most likely #2.

And you all have to admit that not only is 🇲🇲 a pass first coach (despite what he tells the media), it generally works. If we become a team that runs in the 50s, we will lose. That crap doesn't work in today's NFL.

So if anything, I was WAY ahead of all of you because I said this years ago.

My man Donald Driver

(thanks to Pack93z for the pic)
2010 will be seen as the beginning of the new Packers dynasty. 🇹🇹 🇲🇲 🇦🇷

Zero2Cool
Elite Member

12 years ago

#52

"Success" I feel is a relative term. Rushing Yards holds little to no bearing on winning is what I believe to be accurate. Rushing Attempts gaining any positive yards consistently I would have to imagine has a positive impact on the Passing game. Which in turn assists a higher Offensive QB Rating, which I believe Offensive / Defensive QB Rating differential holds a very direct bearing on winning/losing games.

Truth be told, there is no script to winning, other than scoring more points than the other team. If there were such a script, I can think of 32 teams that would be using it in the NFL, thus, nullifying said script's value.

I maintain as I said several times, pass 60, run 40 in terms of percentage yields the best outcome as it keeps the defense more honest than say 70/30 ratio.

zombieslayer
Registered

12 years ago

#53

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool

Yes, that's about right. And no, there is no script. But if you're a run, run, pass, punt team, you won't get far in today's NFL.

Now, this is ONLY one game, but if you look at GB vs Houston, we were definitely a pass first team and it worked. 37 passes vs 33 rushes was deceptive. 🇲🇲 called mostly pass plays until the game was completely sealed.

When we were up 35-17, 🇲🇲 had called (assuming Mike calls the plays and given that Aaron is allowed to change them at the line) 35 passes vs 21 rushes. The last 4 drives were just rushes (with 2 passes thrown in there) to eat the clock.

So it's obvious that in this specific game, going pass first worked. And this is credit that Pack93z fails to give me and 🇲🇲. I've said since 2007 that 🇲🇲 calls a game pretty much how I would have called it. He has become my favorite Packers coach that I've ever watched. By far. And that includes Mike Holmgren.

As for the word success, it only means one thing to me - winning SBs. Everything short of winning a SB is a less than successful season. We're the Packers, not the Vikings.

My man Donald Driver

(thanks to Pack93z for the pic)
2010 will be seen as the beginning of the new Packers dynasty. 🇹🇹 🇲🇲 🇦🇷

Zero2Cool
Elite Member

12 years ago

#54

I think it's more like 41 pass plays and 29 rush plays. I don't think the two runs by Aaron Rodgers were designed runs, and the two sacks were passing plays. One of Rodgers rushes were on a 3rd and 1, could be a run play??? 40 30?

58.6% pass
41.4% run

awfully close to my 60/40 ratio target

Packers actually lost time of possession in this game by 5 minutes too.

Edit, you can find this link in the check this out sticky too.
http://www.mortgageloancalculating.com/passer_rating_differential.html

Packers leading the league in QB Rating differential ... uh oh NFL ... you fucked! I found that encouraging. I'm hoping it translates into #5, if you know what I mean.

Edit2, here's some links that support my theory on qb rating differential if you still don't believe me.
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2011/writers/kerry_byrne/08/03/defending-qb-rating/index.html
http://www.coldhardfootballfacts.com/content/70-years-nfl-stats-its-all-about-the-passing-game/8213/

zombieslayer
Registered

12 years ago

#55

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool

Speaking of QB Rating differential (which may be THE stat that's closest to a team's success), I wonder what happened to Dexter_Sinister. He used to give us those updates.

And yeah, I know what you mean. Hope so too. 🙏

My man Donald Driver

(thanks to Pack93z for the pic)
2010 will be seen as the beginning of the new Packers dynasty. 🇹🇹 🇲🇲 🇦🇷

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Fan Shout

Zero2Cool (32m) : Luke Getsy been helping Packers defense. He's former OC Bears/Raiders and our old QB coach

beast (2-Jan) : Thanks dfosterf, I'm still kicking myself for last week, as I forgot to change to pick Vikings and Lions... after putting in a holding spot.

Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : First alternate: Elgton Jenkins Other alternates: Jordan Love, Kenny Clark, Keisean Nixon, Tucker Kraft, Josh Myers, Jaire Alexander

Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : Pro Bowl still a thing? Guess Packers have three. Jacobs, Gary, McKinney.

dfosterf (2-Jan) : It's a mine field with all the players sitting, etc

dfosterf (2-Jan) : There was quite a bit of "chalk" matchups this year it seemed, but not this week coming up

Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : Or we got better and by we I mean everyone except me

Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : We have about six that by percent would have won nearly any season. I guess 2024 was predictable 🤷

Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : You can check previous seasons. I quick did it and don't think anyone hit 70% before

dfosterf (2-Jan) : Hats off to the Beast

dfosterf (2-Jan) : I'm at 71.76% in pick 'em. 2nd place. Beast is at a flat 75% 9 games ahead. That 75% has got to be unprecedented this late in the season

beast (2-Jan) : I don't care deeply, just want some good entertaining games

Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : BTW, not serious.

Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : You don't care about it either!!!!

Zero2Cool (2-Jan) : NIL and Portal killed college, no one cares about it.

Mucky Tundra (2-Jan) : outside of Texas-Arizona St, it's been a snoozefest

beast (2-Jan) : I expect Georgia will change that tomorrow, but we'll have to wait and see. If they do, then only Big 10 and SEC are left.

beast (2-Jan) : So much for Conference Championship meaning something as 100% (so far) of the conference Champions lost their first playoff game.

Zero2Cool (1-Jan) : Jaire had surgery, season over.

Mucky Tundra (1-Jan) : I guess I need a new sig Pic. Boo

Mucky Tundra (1-Jan) : Eric Dickerson approves of this decision

beast (1-Jan) : Eagles are resting RB Saquon Barkley, so there is no chance he breaks the record despite being just 101 yards from it

Zero2Cool (1-Jan) : Patriots are waiving veteran pass rusher Yannick Ngakoue

beast (1-Jan) : Happy New Year's 🥳🎉

beast (31-Dec) : I want to them chant some songs for Daniel Whelan

beast (31-Dec) : Let's win one! Also, hopefully the Irish will stand with Daniel Whelan

Mucky Tundra (31-Dec) : After London and Brazil, I could go without an overseas game for a while

Zero2Cool (31-Dec) : Packers. Steelers. Ireland. 2025. Reports say.

Zero2Cool (30-Dec) : Matt Lafleur on if Jaire will play again this season. "Yeah I don't know... he's been dealing with swelling."

Mucky Tundra (30-Dec) : After the way they played for most of the game yesterday, I don't see how you can sit anyone for the whole game

Zero2Cool (30-Dec) : I'd say play everyone. Going into playoffs at 7th seed on two game lose streak - yucky

Zero2Cool (30-Dec) : Do the Packers have any best players?

beast (30-Dec) : Play or Rest*

beast (30-Dec) : Should the Packers play or free their best players vs the Bears?

Zero2Cool (30-Dec) : Packers should be 3 - 2 in the Division. Bonkers being swept by both Lions and Vikings. yikes

go.pack.go. (30-Dec) : All crazy stuff…and good point beast

beast (30-Dec) : Packers should be 0-5 in the division, can't say I saw that coming, even 1-4

Zero2Cool (30-Dec) : Sam Darnold 35 TD's ... another one

Zero2Cool (30-Dec) : Baker Mayfield, 39 TD's ... can't say I saw that one

Zero2Cool (30-Dec) : No matter who is playing as 7th, I think we want them to win. Get rid of 2nd seed haha

go.pack.go. (30-Dec) : That would be dhazer who was rooting for Minnesota

beast (30-Dec) : Well, Commanders are currently the 6th seed and Packers the 7th

beast (30-Dec) : Who was it in Chat, that wanted the Vikings to win (because Lions fans upset them) because Packers could not lose the 6th seed?

beast (30-Dec) : If Falcons win, Packers stay as the 6th seed and Falcons lead the NFCS, if they lose, Commanders 6th and Bucs take NFCS lead

beast (30-Dec) : Win or Loss, the NFCS is going down to week 18

Mucky Tundra (30-Dec) : if the Falcons win, how does that affect the overall NFC playoff picture? Does it mean that the NFC South comes down to week 18?

beast (30-Dec) : If Commanders win, the Packers drop to the 7th seed

beast (29-Dec) : Taylor still at it!

beast (29-Dec) : Colts get the ball and fumble turn over

packerfanoutwest (29-Dec) : Jets pull Aaron Rodgers for Tyrod Taylor

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