Week 5

NFC

First Round Bye
1) Lions (5) (SOV .420 > Packers .400)
2) 49'ers (3) (Conf Winning % .750 > Saints .666)

Division Winners
3) Saints (7) (Winning % .800 > Redskins .750)
4) Redskins (2) (Winning % .750 > Giants .600)

Wild Cards
5) Packers (1) (Winning % 1.00 > Giants .600)
6) Giants (6) (Conf winning % .600 > Buccaneers .500)

The Rest in Order:
7) Buccaneers (4) (Winning % .600 > Cowboys .500)
8) Cowboys (8) (Winning % .500 > Seahawks .400)
9) Seahawks (11) (Conf winning % .500 > Bears .400)
10) Bears (9) (Head to Head win over Falcons)
11) Falcons (10) (Winning % .400 > Vikings .200)
12) vikings (15) (Conf winning % .333 > Eagles .250)
13) Eagles (13) (Conf winning % .250 > Cardinals .200)
14) Cardinals (12) (Conf winning % .200 > Panthers .000)
15) Panthers (14)(Winning % .200 > Rams .000)
16) Rams (16)


AFC

First Round Bye
1) Bills (2) (Win over Patriots; SOV .500 > Chargers .200)
2) Chargers (4) (Winning % .800 > Ravens .750)

Division Winners
3) Ravens (3) (Winning % .750 > Texans .600)
4) Texans (1) (Divisional % 1.00 > Titans .000)

Wild Cards
5) Patriots (6) (Winning % .800 > Bengals .600)
6) Bengals (7) (Conference winning % .750 > Raiders .600)

The rest in order:
7) Raiders (8) (Conference winning % .600 > Steelers .500)
8) Steelers (11) (Head to Head win over Titans)
9) Titans (5) (Winning % .600 > Browns .500)
10) Browns (9) (Winning % .500 > Chiefs .400)
11) Chiefs (14) (Conference winning % .333 > Jets .250)
12) Jets (10) (Winning % .400 > Jaguars .200)
13) Jaguars (12) (Conference Winning % .333 > Broncos .250)
14) Broncos (13) (Winning % .200 > Dolphins .000)
15) Dolphins (16) (SOS .675 > Colts .540)
16) Colts (15)


Thank the Cardinals for losing to the viklings for the difference in Lions SOV.

---

Crazy to think the difference between home-field advantage throughout and a wildcard could boil down to something as trivial as a fifth of a point on strength of victory.

---

You may disagree with the ratings used but here is a picture of the remaining games between the Lions and the Packers.

Packers

Easy - Rams, viklings(2), Chiefs
Medium - Lions, Buccaneers, Raiders, Giants
Difficult - Chargers, Bears, Lions(Thanksgiving)

Strength of Schedule Remaining .527
Combined record of remaining opponents 29-26

Lions

Easy - Broncos, viklings
Medium - Falcons, Bears, Panthers, Raiders
Difficult - Packers(2), Chargers, Saints, 49'ers

Strength of Schedule Remaining .580
Combined record of remaining opponents 31-24

---

I think the Lions get the division because they have two division wins to the Packers one. I don't think it goes to strength of victory, does it?


Edit, Best won-lost-tied percentage  in games played within the division. Or since it says percentage and 1 - 0 is 1.000 and 2 - 0 is 1.000 does it not matter that the Lions have two wins, versus the Packers one win in the division?

---

Playing the Rams hurts the Strength of Victory and Strength of Schedule numbers.

The Lions playing the 49'ers can help their strength of Schedule but hopefully not their Strength of Victory.

---