Cheesey, with all due respect, I find it embarrassing that you make such a sweeping judgment of a nation over a few people you've met. So if a black guy shakes your hand and then takes your wallet, does that mean all blacks are lying, thieving scum? This is the exact attitude that got us into Iraq in the first place.
Any time anyone -- in particular, the government -- tries to persuade me to support a course of action using an argument based on fear, I am always instantly skeptical. Fear has been the tool of choice for tyrants, the power hungry, and warmongers throughout the millennia.
On WPR today, they interviewed Ervand Abrahamian, author of
A Modern History of Iran, and he made a lot of interesting points.
He pointed out that the fact that the Islamic regime, with Ahmadenijad as its figurehead, had to rig the elections shows that they don't have much support in Iran. Interestingly, too, he said that the regime has particularly little support among the Muslim conservatives. He said that in his speeches, Ahmadenijad actively caters to what he calls the "evangelical Muslims," or in other words, the "born-again Muslims" who believe that the return of the Messiah is imminent. He said these evangelical Muslims make up perhaps 25% of the nation's population, just as evangelical Christians make up about 30% of the Republican Party, so anyone who wants to be in power has to at least cater to this contingent. (For a point of reference, I've had several Iranians tell me that almost no one in Iran is actually religious anymore, which jibes with what Abrahamian says.) He said it is hard to tell how much Ahmadenijad actually believes what he says and how much of it is just demagoguery to mobilize his base of support, just as it was hard to tell how much Bush truly believed his own evangelical Christian rhetoric. I'm of the personal opinion that Ahmadenijad is anything but the madman he is portrayed to be in our media; he is more of a minimally competent talking head backed by inflammatory advisors -- in the mold of Bush the Lesser.
He also pointed out that in fact, Iran's military is one of the weakest in the region -- probably one of the reasons why they want to posses a nuclear threat. Iran spends less money on weaponry than Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and even the little country of Kuwait. However, he also added that because the United States controls a great deal of territory in the region (Iraq and Afghanistan in particular), if Israel attacks Iran through any territory controlled by the United States, Iran will regard it as an act of aggression by the United States and will retaliate accordingly. And as I pointed out in an earlier post, while the people of Iran may not support the ruling regime, they do feel a duty to their homeland, and they will mobilize their militias
en masse if we invade.
Is this something we really want to get involved in? Pull our troops out, pare back our military spending, and let's start mending our fences at home.
The purpose of this thread is not in fact to defend Iran, but rather to express my fear that the United States is overextending itself and overstaying its welcome in the world. Whether we like to admit it or not, the United States has been acting in an imperialistic fashion for decades. Every nation that has attempted to amass an empire has eventually fallen. A lot of Americans seem to be unconsciously influenced by the Manifest Destiny ideas of our forefathers and think that we have some sort of God-ordained immunity to this trend, but the fact is we don't. The worst thing about our imperialistic escapades is we can't even afford them; we're doing them on OPM (other people's money), money that will come due sooner or later. I don't want my children to have to grow up in a country that implodes after having grown too top heavy from its own hubris and greed. But I fear that is exactly what is going to happen.
All I have to say is that if my country invades Iran, I will put my wife and kids on a plane for a distant land and I will never return to this country (unless, of course, the CIA decides to drag me back). There is only so much patience I have for a country that refuses to learn from its mistakes.