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beast
  • beast
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2020-05-17T02:09:47Z

Even if revenues go down in 2020, the salary cap need not go down in 2021. Plenty of teams won’t want it to go down, because they won’t want to cut key players in order to get under the lowered spending limit. And the union clearly will want the cap to be as high as possible, in order to prevent a rash of players from being released and then ultimately signing new contracts, possibly for much less than they were due to make.

The ultimate number will be limited only by the creativity of the negotiators. With new TV deals on the horizon, and with those deals expected to be massive if/when a new normal arrives, the league and union could essentially borrow against future salary caps, smoothing the 2021 shortfall over multiple seasons, reducing the short-term pain for both the teams and the players.



Great article, pointing out that while the NFL cap could potentially be going down next year with the COVID-19 problems (if they don't adjust anything), it really shouldn't because both sides that can control the cap formula, have great reasons to adjust it, and have a major hope for mega new TV deals ahead which could potentially more than offset borrowing from the future.


The teams and agents have been assuming it'd be going up for decades now, so if he suddenly goes down, teams not only won't be able to resign their own , but will have to release their own which they don't want to do, and the union probably wants that even less as then players would be released into a market will a ton of supply almost no demand which would be killers to them (of course if the NFL doesn't work with them, they could have ultra demand and not enough supply once those new TV deals kick in, if they are as large as hoped and believed).
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