2013 Packers Playoff Probabilities· Page 3

sschind
Senior Member

10 years ago

Spot #3 - First Round Home Field Advantage

Case 1
Packers beat the Steelers, and
Packers beat the Bears, and
Bears beat the Eagles

Case 2
Packers beat the Steelers, and
Packers beat the Bears, and
Cowboys beat the Eagles

Spot #4 - First Round Home Field Advantage

Case 1
Packers beat the Steelers, and
Packers beat the Bears

Case 2
Packers beat the Bears, and
Giants beat the Lions, and
Eagles beat the Bears

Case 3
Packers beat the Bears, and
Eagles beat the Bears, and
Vikings beat the Lions

Using Power Rankings as the factor...

NFC
1-Seahawks
2-Panthers
3-Packers
4-Eagles
5-49ers
6-Saints

Wild Card
Saints at Packers and the Saints have been garbage at home.
49ers would beat @ Eagles

Divisional
Packers at Seahawks
49ers at Carolina

Championship
49ers at Packers

CRAZY...

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool

Sounds good to me, write it up and I'll take it.

StoicFire
Member

10 years ago

#22

It's nice to see that it is finally back within our control. No more help required, just win the next 2 and we're in.

As for playoff probabilities, footballoutsiders say:

Team.. Rec ... #3 ........ #4 ........... DIV
CHI ... 8-6 ..... 36.2% ...24.9%..... 61.1%
DET ... 7-7 ..... 4.1% ....15.8% .....19.9%
GB ..... 7-6-1... 8.9% ....10.0%..... 19.0%
MIN ... 4-9-1... 0.0% .....0.0% ......0.0%

"the Quarterback can run if he wants to, but with this rocket attached to your body... who would?" -Aaron Rodgers

buckeyepackfan
Veteran Member

10 years ago

#23

Originally Posted by: StoicFire

Wasn't Packers chances before last week games single digits?
Something like 5.7%?

Getting better with every win!!

Where's Yancy Thigpen when you need him? 🤣

I was addicted to The Hokey Pokey, but I turned myself around!

Zero2Cool
Elite Member Topic Starter

10 years ago

#24

Seed 4 is the only position the Packers can get.

Spot #4 - First Round Home Field Advantage

Packers beat the Bears

macbob
Veteran Member

10 years ago

#25

Beat the Bears & home field first round, against the highest ranked wild card team:

Carolina or Saints
Seattle or 49ers or Cardinals

Any of those would be a tough game. We need Aaron Rodgers back by that first round of playoffs.

nerdmann
Premier Member

10 years ago

#26

Originally Posted by: macbob

The Bears will be week 8 correct? No first round bye, so first week of playoffs would be week 9.

Don't see it happening.

“Winning is not a sometime thing, it is an all the time thing. You don't do things right once in a while…you do them right all the time.”

sschind
Senior Member

10 years ago

#27

The Bears will be week 8 correct? No first round bye, so first week of playoffs would be week 9.

Don't see it happening.

Originally Posted by: nerdmann

What? Week 8, Week 9, are you losing it nerd?

You don't see us winning this week is that what you are saying?

buckeyepackfan
Veteran Member

10 years ago

#28

I just posted this in "confidence thread", seems it applies here more.

The Packers win out, not only will there be a good chance they will win their division, but there is a pretty good chance they will be the #3 seed.

All depends on what Philly does it's last 3 games, Packers beat The Boys Sunday, that will all but eliminate them from the playoff race.

All speculation, but if you run the numbers, the odds are getting better for The Packers every time they win a game.

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

Edit: I'll post this again, The Packers can finish 8-7-1 and win The Division, but would like to see them going into The playoffs with a 4 game winning streak.
The real shocker is if The Lions lose to The Ravens and Giants and The Bears lose to The Browns and Philly, The Packers would have the division locked up after week 16 with wins over Dallas and Pittsburgh.

The could actually rest guys week 17 against The Bears.

Originally Posted by: buckeyepackfan

Yep, i said it 12 days ago, now all The packers have to do is win on Sunday.

😆 😆 😆 😆 😆

GO! PACK! GO!

I was addicted to The Hokey Pokey, but I turned myself around!

Zero2Cool
Elite Member Topic Starter

10 years ago

#29

Yep, i said it 12 days ago, now all The packers have to do is win on Sunday.

😆 😆 😆 😆 😆

GO! PACK! GO!

Originally Posted by: buckeyepackfan

21 days ago ... sit down. 😆

Packers could actually win the division with 8 - 7 - 1 record lol ... wow

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool

buckeyepackfan
Veteran Member

10 years ago

#30

21 days ago ... sit down. 😆

Originally Posted by: Zero2Cool

I KNOW I WAS THE 1ST!!!!!!

Just can't find my original post, in another thread!!!

DAMNIT!!!!!!

I was addicted to The Hokey Pokey, but I turned myself around!

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beast (11h) : Family? That's Deadpool's F word

Nonstopdrivel (11h) : Not THAT f-word.

Zero2Cool (11h) : fuck

beast (12h) : 49ers are Cap Tight

beast (12h) : Fuck

Mucky Tundra (13h) : Kanata, I will be when I'm on my lunch later

TheKanataThrilla (13h) : Love you NSD

Nonstopdrivel (13h) : Huh. I guess the F-word is censored in this fan shout.

Nonstopdrivel (13h) : Anyone who doesn't hang out in the chat probably smokes pole.

TheKanataThrilla (13h) : GoPackGo Thinking CB is the pick tonight

TheKanataThrilla (13h) : Anyone hanging out in the chat tonight?

Zero2Cool (14h) : whoa...49ers have had trade conversations about both Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk

Zero2Cool (14h) : I hope they take a Punter at 9th overall. Be bold!

Mucky Tundra (15h) : I may end up eating those words but I think they need a lot more talent then their 4 picks can provide

Mucky Tundra (15h) : I really hope they stand pat and Draft a WR

Mucky Tundra (15h) : @DMRussini

Mucky Tundra (15h) : The Chicago Bears are very open for business at 9 and telling teams they are ready to move for the right price, per source

buckeyepackfan (24-Apr) : Lions extend Penei Soul 4yrs - 112mil

buckeyepackfan (24-Apr) : Lions extend St. Brown 4 years 120mil and

Mucky Tundra (24-Apr) : Now look, trading up to 13 to take a TE might not seem like a good idea later but it will be later!

dfosterf (24-Apr) : (Your trade up mock post)

dfosterf (24-Apr) : Mucky- The only thing fun to watch would be me flipping the f out if Gute goes up to 13 and grabs Brock Bowers, lol

beast (24-Apr) : DT Byron Murphy II, Texas... whom some believe is the next Aaron Donald (or the closest thing to Donald)

Zero2Cool (24-Apr) : What? And who?

Mucky Tundra (24-Apr) : *sad Mucky noises*

Mucky Tundra (24-Apr) : @JoeJHoyt Murphy said he’s been told he won’t slide past pick No. 16.

wpr (23-Apr) : Just about time to watch Sonny Weaver stick it to the seahags. I never get tired of it.

Martha Careful (23-Apr) : *game plan

Martha Careful (23-Apr) : IMHO, not even close. He is not a guy you game play around.

Mucky Tundra (23-Apr) : is Aiyuk worth a 1st rounder?

Zero2Cool (23-Apr) : 49ers are seeking a 1st round pick in exchange for WR Brandon Aiyuk

Mucky Tundra (22-Apr) : Based on Gutes comments, now I don't feel as silly having 13 picks in my mock the other day

Zero2Cool (22-Apr) : Zach Wilson to Broncos.

Zero2Cool (22-Apr) : Gutekunst says he'd love to have 13 or 14 picks. He's trading back huh lol

beast (22-Apr) : Someday we'll have a draft betting scandal

beast (21-Apr) : Sometimes looking extremely amazing, sometimes looking extremely lost

beast (21-Apr) : I haven't looked into the QBs, but some have suggested Maye has some of the most extremely inconsistent tape they've seen

beast (21-Apr) : Well it also sounds like Patriots are listening to trade offers, not that seriously considering any, but listening means they aren't locked

Zero2Cool (21-Apr) : Maye needs to be AFC

Mucky Tundra (21-Apr) : Not liking the idea of the Vikings getting Maye

Zero2Cool (21-Apr) : Vikings HC joked that he may or may not have sent flowers to Bob Kraft. That's where rumor came from.

beast (21-Apr) : Can't tell if this is real or BS, but some rumors about a possible Patriots/Vikings trade for #3 overall

dfosterf (21-Apr) : One playbook to my knowledge. I was shooting for facetious.

beast (20-Apr) : I'm not sure they have different playbooks for different OL positions, and Dillard run blocking is supposedly worse than his pass blocking..

dfosterf (19-Apr) : The only problem with that is he isn't a guard either.

dfosterf (19-Apr) : Put him at right guard. That is where he will be coached. That is where he will compete. He is not even allowed to look at the LT playbook.

dfosterf (18-Apr) : Kidding aside, I hope the best for him.

dfosterf (18-Apr) : Went to a Titans board. One comment there. Not very long. I quote: "LOL" They don't sound overly upset about our aquisition.

beast (18-Apr) : OT Dillard has been absolutely horrible... like OG Newman levels

dfosterf (18-Apr) : Suit him up and have him stand in front of the big board as a draft day cautionary tale.

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2023 Packers Schedule

Sunday, Sep 10 @ 3:25 PM

Bears

38 - 20

Sunday, Sep 17 @ 12:00 PM

Falcons

24 - 25

Sunday, Sep 24 @ 12:00 PM

SAINTS

18 - 17

Thursday, Sep 28 @ 7:15 PM

LIONS

20 - 34

Monday, Oct 9 @ 7:15 PM

Raiders

13 - 17

Sunday, Oct 22 @ 3:25 PM

Broncos

17 - 19

Sunday, Oct 29 @ 12:00 PM

VIKINGS

10 - 24

Sunday, Nov 5 @ 12:00 PM

RAMS

20 - 3

Sunday, Nov 12 @ 12:00 PM

Steelers

19 - 23

Sunday, Nov 19 @ 12:00 PM

CHARGERS

23 - 20

Thursday, Nov 23 @ 11:30 AM

Lions

29 - 22

Sunday, Dec 3 @ 7:20 PM

CHIEFS

27 - 19

Monday, Dec 11 @ 7:15 PM

Giants

22 - 24

Sunday, Dec 17 @ 12:00 PM

BUCCANEERS

20 - 34

Sunday, Dec 24 @ 12:00 PM

Panthers

33 - 30

Sunday, Dec 31 @ 7:20 PM

Vikings

33 - 10

Sunday, Jan 7 @ 3:25 PM

BEARS

17 - 9

Sunday, Jan 14 @ 3:30 PM

Cowboys

48 - 32

Saturday, Jan 20 @ 7:15 PM

49ers

21 - 24