Another win and it looks like Green Bay is in right? In a worst case scenario, 10-6 would probably beat out the rest of the contenders for #7 (Vikes, 49ers and Cards).

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I was having a hard time figuring out how we weren't already locked, but looks like if everything wrong happens... the Packers could in theory fall to 9th behind the Cardinals, Bucs, Vikings and Bears still... but yes a win against the Lions or Panthers, I believe would lock up a playoff spot.

And to wrap up the NFC North Division either
~ two wins,
~ a win and Vikings loss,
~ two Vikings losses, one Bears loss, one Lion loss

Packers play Lions
Vikings play Bucs
Bears play Texans

So it could happen next week.
Since Saints went Bucs, all they need is a Saints win or Bucs loss to lock up their division.

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I haven't seen anything either. I just did a a best/worst case scenario for each team (GB goes 1-3, the rest win out which probably isn't possible with the division games). Really would have helped if Atlanta beat New Orleans without Brees active, but Green Bay can take care of business and still end up with a high seed which is nice.

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Based on the site Zero says he likes and my interpretation of it.

Packers odds at #1 seed: 26%
26% that the Saints lose a game and Packers go undefeated the rest of the way

Packers odds at #2 seed: 35%
Either Packers and Saints both go undefeated the rest of the way, or the Packers only lose to the Titans.

Also, that neither the Rams nor Seahawks go undefeated the rest of the way.

Packers odds at #1 seed: 38%
38% Packers lose to an NFC team (not Titans as I believe they'd still have tie breaker with only an AFC loss) and either Rams or Seahawks go undefeated the rest of the way.

Packers odds at all other results: 1%
They're not idiots, Packers chances of not getting a top 3 NFC seed are slim and none...


I'm shocked: I'm slightly shocked that #2 percentage isn't higher.

Either they must really believe the Seahawks or Rams will be going undefeated in their three games not against each other AND Packers will lose an NFC game. (if ESPN Playoffs Machine Tie Breaker a is correct, losing to only the Titans doesn't put Packers below the NFC West).

Where I think it's just as likely that both Rams and Seahawks lose a game, as Packers lose another NFC game.

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Here's where we are after today's games.

1. Green Bay Packers 10-3
2 New Orleans Saints 10-3
3 Los Angeles Rams 9-4
4 Washington Footballs 6-7
5 Seattle Seahawks 9-4
6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8-5
7 Arizona Cardinals 7-6

NO vs AZ
LA vs TB
Washington vs Seattle


Looking in:
Minnesota Vikings 6-7
Chicago Bears 6-7
Detroit Lions 5-8

GB schedule: Carolina 4-9; Tenn 9-4; @Chicago 6-7

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Here's where we are after today's games. NYG still has their game tonight.

1. Green Bay Packers 11-3
2 New Orleans Saints 10-4 Wins tie break over Seattle based on best win percentage in conference games.
3 Seattle Seahawks 10-4
4 Washington Footballs 6-8
5 Los Angeles Rams 9-5 Wins tie break over Tampa Bay based on head-to-head win percentage.
6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9-5
7 Arizona Cardinals 8-6

NO vs AZ
Seattle vs TB
Washington vs LA


Looking in:

Chicago Bears 7-7
Minnesota Vikings 6-8
NYG 5-8 pending tonight's game.

GB schedule: Tenn 10-4; @Chicago 7-7

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We're well beyond week 10.

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Maybe Boyle will get some time. Maybe Love will get a drive or two.

Not to jinx us, of course.

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Week 17 will matter boys. And it will likely matter to the Bears as well

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