Packers remaining 4 games: (8-4)
vs. Dallas
@ Oakland
@ Arizona
vs. Minnesota
Vikings final 5 games: (8-3)
vs. Seattle
@ Arizona
vs. Chicago
vs. New York (Giants)
@ Green Bay
Cardinals final 5 games: (9-2)
@ St. Louis
vs. Minnesota
@ Philadelphia
vs. Green Bay
vs. Seattle
I think it's safe to say you can concede HFA advantage to Carolina at this point.
If Green Bay is going to have any chance at the 2 seed, they almost have to win out and finish 12-4. Even one more loss and assuming they'd still win the division, they're playing WC weekend. It'd just be a matter of home or away at that point. They'd need to get the head to head tiebreaker against the Cardinals and Arizona to slip up against one of their final 4 opponents as well as loose to Green Bay. That's probably a tall order. I think there's a decent chance the W17 game against Minnesota will either be flexed to Sunday night, or at least protected and moved to a late afternoon start.
It should be an interesting final 5 weeks to say the least.