You are not logged in. Join Free! | Log In Thank you!    

Welcome to your Green Bay Packers Online Community!

Since 2006, PackersHome has been providing a unique experience for fans.
Your participation is greatly anticipated!
Login or Register.

Notification

Icon
Error

3 Pages<123>
Share
Options
View
Go to last post Go to first unread
Offline Pack93z  
#16 Posted : Tuesday, September 8, 2009 11:33:57 PM(UTC)
Pack93z

Rank: Hall of Famer

U.S. Minor Islands
Posts: 12,603
Joined: 3/16/2007(UTC)
Location: North Central Wisconsin

Applause Given: 353
Applause Received: 936

I just joined as well.. world domination next. ;)
The wolves will never lose sleep over the feelings of the sheep.

UserPostedImage
Offline loosenut  
#17 Posted : Wednesday, September 9, 2009 9:43:32 PM(UTC)
loosenut

Rank: Practice Squad

Australia
Posts: 116
Joined: 8/13/2008(UTC)

Applause Given: 1

Just joined... bring it on!
Offline Zero2Cool  
#18 Posted : Wednesday, September 9, 2009 11:35:42 PM(UTC)
Zero2Cool

Rank: Legend

United States
Posts: 25,223
Joined: 10/13/2006(UTC)
Location: Green Bay, WI

Applause Given: 1,740
Applause Received: 1,790

Where is everyone? Scared? :)

UserPostedImage
Click here and find the LATEST Packers News!
Offline TheEngineer  
#19 Posted : Wednesday, September 9, 2009 11:58:18 PM(UTC)
TheEngineer

Rank: 5th Round Draft Pick

Posts: 1,621
Joined: 8/8/2008(UTC)


Urgh, Yahoo. So slow.
blank
Offline Zero2Cool  
#20 Posted : Thursday, September 10, 2009 12:06:08 AM(UTC)
Zero2Cool

Rank: Legend

United States
Posts: 25,223
Joined: 10/13/2006(UTC)
Location: Green Bay, WI

Applause Given: 1,740
Applause Received: 1,790

Working on making one for the site, but unless by some miracle, it won't be done in time for the season.

UserPostedImage
Click here and find the LATEST Packers News!
Offline IronMan  
#21 Posted : Thursday, September 10, 2009 1:30:27 AM(UTC)
IronMan

Rank: Pro Bowl

Posts: 3,490
Joined: 8/7/2008(UTC)

Applause Given: 14
Applause Received: 53

I'm in!
Offline Nonstopdrivel  
#22 Posted : Thursday, September 10, 2009 7:13:08 PM(UTC)
Nonstopdrivel

Rank: Hall of Famer

United States
Posts: 11,691
Joined: 9/14/2008(UTC)
Location: Germany

Applause Given: 365
Applause Received: 263

Holy crap. For Week 1, I selected a straight ticket -- I picked every team in the left column. Weird.
UserPostedImage
Offline Zero2Cool  
#23 Posted : Thursday, September 10, 2009 8:05:30 PM(UTC)
Zero2Cool

Rank: Legend

United States
Posts: 25,223
Joined: 10/13/2006(UTC)
Location: Green Bay, WI

Applause Given: 1,740
Applause Received: 1,790

Wow, nearly 20 ... keep'em coming ... pussies. :)

UserPostedImage
Click here and find the LATEST Packers News!
Offline TheEngineer  
#24 Posted : Friday, September 11, 2009 12:11:19 AM(UTC)
TheEngineer

Rank: 5th Round Draft Pick

Posts: 1,621
Joined: 8/8/2008(UTC)


Originally Posted by: " Go to Quoted Post
Holy crap. For Week 1, I selected a straight ticket -- I picked every team in the left column. Weird.


That's because the left column is the favourites and the right is the underdogs!
blank
Offline djcubez  
#25 Posted : Friday, September 11, 2009 1:23:12 AM(UTC)
djcubez

Rank: 2nd Round Draft Pick

Posts: 1,750
Joined: 8/7/2008(UTC)
Location: Milwaukee

Applause Given: 8
Applause Received: 13

Originally Posted by: " Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: " Go to Quoted Post
Holy crap. For Week 1, I selected a straight ticket -- I picked every team in the left column. Weird.


That's because the left column is the favourites and the right is the underdogs!

Yea, no reason for underdog picks in the first week, nobody really knows what's up.
Check out my music webpage - Click Here
Offline Nonstopdrivel  
#26 Posted : Friday, September 11, 2009 1:52:20 AM(UTC)
Nonstopdrivel

Rank: Hall of Famer

United States
Posts: 11,691
Joined: 9/14/2008(UTC)
Location: Germany

Applause Given: 365
Applause Received: 263

Last year I read an article (it might have been Gregg Easterbrook's "Tuesday Morning Quarterback" -- I can't remember) in which it was stated that over the course of the entire season, the following simple system has beaten the picks of virtually every pundit out there. For every game:

1) Pick the team with the better record.

2) In case of a tie, pick the home team.

Sounds oversimplified, and it is, but the beauty of it is it plays the odds, doesn't overthink the nuances, and doesn't jump on bandwagons.

Obviously, this isn't an optimal strategy for week 1, when you have no prior information, but its success improves dramatically as the season progresses.

If I remember correctly, no pundit in the past few years has exceeded a 70% correct pick rate, and I don't think many get above 60%. Some of the most famous score an abysmal 25% or less! The strategy above is rarely beat by more than one nationally known pundit.
UserPostedImage
Offline Nonstopdrivel  
#27 Posted : Friday, September 18, 2009 1:47:46 AM(UTC)
Nonstopdrivel

Rank: Hall of Famer

United States
Posts: 11,691
Joined: 9/14/2008(UTC)
Location: Germany

Applause Given: 365
Applause Received: 263

So I went 13-3 for the week. Not bad. Two of my mistakes almost everyone else made too, so I don't feel terrible about them. Who would have guessed Denver over Cinci, much less San Fran over Arizona?
UserPostedImage
Offline djcubez  
#28 Posted : Friday, September 18, 2009 5:49:49 AM(UTC)
djcubez

Rank: 2nd Round Draft Pick

Posts: 1,750
Joined: 8/7/2008(UTC)
Location: Milwaukee

Applause Given: 8
Applause Received: 13

Originally Posted by: " Go to Quoted Post
So I went 13-3 for the week. Not bad. Two of my mistakes almost everyone else made too, so I don't feel terrible about them. Who would have guessed Denver over Cinci, much less San Fran over Arizona?

My roommate is in a $50 pool every week with his family and he got it this week with his Denver over Cincinatti pick. I was actually close to picking San Francisco over Arizona just because I thought Mike Singletary is really changing the culture over there. I didn't do it though :/
Check out my music webpage - Click Here
Offline Rockmolder  
#29 Posted : Friday, September 18, 2009 6:41:18 AM(UTC)
Rockmolder

Rank: Super Bowl MVP

Netherlands
Posts: 6,343
Joined: 9/14/2008(UTC)

Applause Given: 143
Applause Received: 215

Originally Posted by: " Go to Quoted Post
So I went 13-3 for the week. Not bad. Two of my mistakes almost everyone else made too, so I don't feel terrible about them. Who would have guessed Denver over Cinci, much less San Fran over Arizona?


I went Cinci over Denver. So did the Ninja and beingBOILEDhurts (Forgot who you are).

The one pick that everyone got wrong was, like you said, 49ers over Arizona. Shouldn't have taken that gamble on Miami, though. They got their ass handed to them by the Falcons.

Don't know if you found it, but you can see everyone's previous picks here.

http://football.fantasys.../22111/grouppicks?week=1
UserPostedImage
Offline Zero2Cool  
#30 Posted : Friday, September 18, 2009 9:50:06 AM(UTC)
Zero2Cool

Rank: Legend

United States
Posts: 25,223
Joined: 10/13/2006(UTC)
Location: Green Bay, WI

Applause Given: 1,740
Applause Received: 1,790

DOMINATION!!

UserPostedImage
Click here and find the LATEST Packers News!
Users browsing this topic
Guest (2)
3 Pages<123>
Forum Jump  
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Powered by YAF 2.1.0 | YAF © 2003-2014, Yet Another Forum.NET
This page was generated in 0.438 seconds.