you can bank on pittsburgh, baltimore, eagles, giants, Tampa will all be strong teams.
"Nonstopdrivel" wrote:
Is that so?
Team 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003
Baltimore 5-11 13-3 6-10 9-7 10-6
Green Bay 13-3 8-8 4-12 10-6 10-6
New York 10-6* 8-8 11-5 6-10 4-12
Philadelphia 8-8 10-6 11-5 13-3 12-4
Pittsburgh 10-6 8-8 11-5* 15-1 6-10
Tampa Bay 9-7 4-12 11-5 5-11 7-9
*Denotes Superbowl victory
Over the past five years, Baltimore, New York, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay are a combined 222-178-0 (.555). In other words, pretty mediocre. By way of comparison, Green Bay is 45-35-0 (.563) over that same stretch. Not much better, but definitely not worse. And given that everyone of those five teams has had AT LEAST one non-winning season in that five-year stretch, your assertion has no standing whatsoever.
Now, just to be fair, I'll include this season's records.
Team 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003
Baltimore 11-2 5-11 13-3 6-10 9-7 10-6
Green Bay 5-8 13-3 8-8 4-12 10-6 10-6
New York 11-2 10-6* 8-8 11-5 6-10 4-12
Philadelphia 7-5 8-8 10-6 11-5 13-3 12-4
Pittsburgh 10-3 10-6 8-8 11-5* 15-1 6-10
Tampa Bay 9-4 9-7 4-12 11-5 5-11 7-9
*Denotes Superbowl victory
Now if we Include this season, the picture changes somewhat. The other five teams' records rise to a combined 270-194-0 (.581) vs. Green Bay's 50-43-1 (.537). But then, you cherry-picked your examples very well; by strange coincidence, they're all having good seasons this year. :-D
But the fact remains: you can't predict anything one season to the next. With these teams alone, we have an example of a team going 6-10 one season and 15-1 the next (Pittsburgh), a team going 13-3 one season and 5-11 the next (Baltimore), and of course, a team going 13-3 one season and starting out 8-5 the next.
You just don't know.
"dhazer" wrote: